1. SylabUZ
2. Wydział Nauk Prawnych i Ekonomicznych
3. semestr zimowy 2021/2022
4. WEiZ - oferta ERASMUS - Program Erasmus
5. Economic Forecasting

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Economic Forecasting - opis przedmiotu

Cel przedmiotu

Students can build the prognostic system for the enterprise, they know forecasting methods and choose a suitable method for solving a problem. Students can built forecasts and evaluate their quality.

Wymagania wstępne

Zapisz zmiany

Knowing economics, mathematics and statistics.

Zakres tematyczny

Classes: Students solve practical problems with methods presented during lectures. These methods are: Simple regression, Regression with time series data, Judgmental forecasting (The Delphi method, Forecasting by analogy, Scenario forecasting, Forecasting for new products), Exponential smoothing, Simple exponential smoothing, Holt’s linear trend method, Exponential trend method, Holt-Winters seasonal method,  Students work individually or in a group.

Lectures: Simple regression, Regression with time series data, Judgmental forecasting (The Delphi method, Forecasting by analogy, Scenario forecasting, Forecasting for new products), Exponential smoothing, Simple exponential smoothing, Holt’s linear trend method, Exponential trend method, Holt-Winters seasonal method,

Metody kształcenia

Conventional lecture, solving problems, group work, classical problem method, discussion, brainstorming, exchange of ideas.

 

Efekty uczenia się i metody weryfikacji osiągania efektów uczenia się

Opis efektu	Symbole efektów	Metody weryfikacji	Forma zajęć

Warunki zaliczenia

Conditions of ranking for exercises: a positive mark in the test (min. 60%) Conditions of ranking for lectures: a positive mark in the writing exam (min. 60%) 

Literatura podstawowa

1. An online textbook by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos, Forecasting: principles and practice, it is available via Internet http://otexts.com/fpp/
2. A. Reza Hoshmand (2009), Business Forecasting, Second Edition, A Practical Approach, Routledge

 

Literatura uzupełniająca

Uwagi

Lecturer: a.gondek@wez.uz.zgora.pl

Zmodyfikowane przez dr Paweł Szudra (ostatnia modyfikacja: 20-05-2021 19:11)