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Decision Analysis and Decision Theory - course description

General information
Course name Decision Analysis and Decision Theory
Course ID 11.1-WK-DEED-DADT-S22
Faculty Faculty of Mathematics, Computer Science and Econometrics
Field of study Data Engineering
Education profile academic
Level of studies Second-cycle studies leading to MS degree
Beginning semester summer term 2023/2024
Course information
Semester 2
ECTS credits to win 5
Available in specialities Business analytics
Course type optional
Teaching language english
Author of syllabus
  • dr hab. Zbigniew Świtalski, prof. UZ
  • dr Robert Dylewski, prof. UZ
Classes forms
The class form Hours per semester (full-time) Hours per week (full-time) Hours per semester (part-time) Hours per week (part-time) Form of assignment
Lecture 30 2 - - Exam
Class 15 1 - - Credit with grade
Project 15 1 - - Credit with grade

Aim of the course

Introduction of the student to the selected methods, models and applications of decision analysis and decision theory.

Prerequisites

Knowing of Basic Linear Algebra, Discrete Mathematics (Graph Theory), Probability Theory. Knowing of basic models of Operations Research.

Scope

Lecture/classes/project
1. Decision making and optimization. Examples of classical optimization models. Multicriterial approach and uncertainty in decision making.
2. Multicriteria programming. Methods and examples of applications.
3. Multicriteria decision analysis in the discrete case (finite set of alternatives) - the methods ELECTRE, PROMETHEE and AHP.
4. Decision making under uncertainty and risk. Multi-stage decision processes. Decision trees.

5. Elements of game theory - theorems on equilibria, prisonner's dilemma, ultimatum game, examples of applications of games in economics.
6. Preference models. Preference relations and utility functions. Properties of preference relations. Complete preorders, linear orders and interval orders. Representations of
    preference relations by utility function. Valued relations as preference models.
7. Multiple-criteria and group preferences. Pareto optimum. Group and social choice. Methods and rules of social choice. Condorcet paradox and Arrow’s theorem.
8. Voting as a method of group decision making. Methods of voting and election systems. Methods of apportionment.
9. Fair division. Methods and formal approaches.
10. Matching and recruitment systems. Gale-Shapley model.
 

Teaching methods

Traditional lecture. Blackboard exercises consisting in individual, supported by the teacher, solving exercises, group discussions on the methods of solving exercises, individual
consultations, realization of individual project.
 

Learning outcomes and methods of theirs verification

Outcome description Outcome symbols Methods of verification The class form

Assignment conditions

The final grade from the subject takes into account grade from the classes (30%), grade from the project (30%) and grade from the exam (40%) under the assumption that the
student has achieved all assumed educational outcomes at a sufficient degree.
 

Recommended reading

  1. M. Q. Anderson, R. J. Lievano, Quantitative Management, Kent Pub. Co, 1986
  2. S. Cooke, N. Slack, Making Management Decisions, Pearson Education Limited, 1992
  3. D. A. Moore, Managerial Decision Making, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2011

Further reading

1.J. Curwin, R. Slater, Quantitative Methods for Business Decisions, Cengage Learning  
   EMEA, 1991

2. B. Roy, Multicriteria Methodology for Decision Aiding, Springer 1996

Notes


Modified by dr Maciej Niedziela (last modification: 30-04-2024 17:10)